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[#739 theory/retrieval] Close the site-cluster renewal around the cylinder and identify its prefactor #740

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@LightChainr

One missing theorem in the existing #739 paper

The owner is providing external retrieval/theory capacity. This is not a new mechanism programme. The fixed-d birth centres and finite-median fluctuation argument are already in the #739 handoffs. The remaining quantity is the once-per-COMPONENT cylinder intensity

nu_w^G(p) = expected number of complete horizontally winding components anchored per vertical row,

for independent SITE percolation on G=NN and G=NN+NNN. Determine whether, uniformly on compact subcritical p intervals,

nu_w^G(p)=A_G(p) w^(-1/2) exp[-w kappa_G(p)] (1+o(1)),

or give the correct power/amplitude/periodic correction. The displayed 1/2 is a hypothesis, NOT an accepted site theorem.

Work already done — reuse it

The current handoff derives an exact one-frontier component-retirement transfer. Widths 2/3/4 have 6/14/38 reachable lifted states; the homogeneous row-weight/reward law reduces to 3/4/7 states. It yields all-p rational nu_w for BOTH adjacencies. At p=1/2 the NN intensities are 7/48,169/1984,323849/5576960. Do not confuse these densities with the rate -lim_m log P0/m.

The finite identity W4(omega)-W8(omega^c)=r4(omega)-1 is an immediate consequence of the wrapping-cluster classification already printed in Mertens–Ziff 2016 §II (single/spiral counts equal, cross unique). It gives nu4_w(p)=nu8_w(1-p), not nu4_w(p)=nu8_w(p), and a corresponding count-pressure identity. This is prior art plus its stated corollary, not a new observation definition.

A completed explicit scalar renewal-loop calculation in the handoff proves: if finite-support positive-length increments have reflection-symmetric transverse law, aperiodic support including (1,0),(1,±1), normalized tilted mean forward length mu and transverse variance sigma², then

L_w = w [z^w y^0] {-log(1-A(z,y))}
~ exp(-kappaw)/sqrt(2piDw), D=sigma²/mu.

The missing step is NOT that Gaussian coefficient calculation. It is proving the correct sewing/cluster-weight identity that relates an ACTUAL SITE COMPONENT to a closed renewal object. Track the factor w/n, seam weights, multiplicity, complete external boundary weight, and possible multiple cuts of one component. Copying the two-point OZ amplitude does not supply this identity.

Targeted primary reading

Start from Campanino–Ioffe (2002), Campanino–Ioffe–Velenik (arXiv:math/0610100), their Bernoulli/site extensions and actual theorem hypotheses; chase the needed citations rather than surveying LCFT or venues. Separate analyticity in DIRECTION from analyticity in p.

Also inspect D’Alimonte–Manolescu arXiv:2510.13648v3 (23 June 2026). In this round PDF printed pp3–4 were read and rendered: the model is BOND FK on E(Z²); Theorem 1.1 is an asymp/two-sided comparability for a two-point function, not an exact amplitude and not a site-cylinder component theorem. Its killed Markov-renewal construction may help, but no direct transfer is assumed. Check finite-range/site and matching-diagonal applicability explicitly.

Deliverable

Return to #739 one of: (a) a cited theorem with a complete model/closure mapping; (b) a derived sewing lemma with proof and the resulting A,beta; (c) a precise obstruction/counterexample. Report which part of the prefactor remains unknown. Include the asymptotic class of the remainder and p-regularity needed to move the centre by log(w)/w.

A useful secondary consequence, only if justified by the same mapping, is whether kappa_G is differentiable/analytic in p throughout the subcritical interval and hence whether the previous possible exceptional d set can be removed. Do not open an independent Jordan or source programme.

Near-critical crossover is downstream: fixed-subcritical uniformity does not extend to p approaching pc by changing words. A negative search is not an originality certificate. No new Monte Carlo, GPU, unrelated width census, merge or STATUS change is requested.

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    priority:P1Bounded parallel analysis or a concrete reserve direction; not all run at once.

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